Normalized Cycles
Every cycle is stretched or compressed to one full turn.
Rotation compares cycle progress, not calendar days.
BTC Halving Spiral Chart
BETAInspired by TheRationalRoot's Bitcoin Spiral Chart. Normalized cycles compare BTC halving progress through one full turn.
BTC halving spiral chart
Mode: Normalized Cycles
No observations for the selected range.
Cycle milestones
Cycle recap and projection
Confirmed cycle data and conservative estimates.
â ConfirmedðŪ Conservative estimate1 cycles
| Cycle | Top price | Top date | Bottom price | Bottom date | % from previous top | % from previous bottom | Drawdown Top â Bottom | Days to top | Days top â bottom | Start date | End date | Duration |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fifth halving cycle (2028)ðŪ Projection | $188,020 | 2029-10-05 | $63,927 | 2030-10-05 | +50.6% | +402.1% | -66.0% | 533 | 365 | 2028-04-20 | 2032-04-18 | 4y |
Estimates use diminishing drawdown and diminishing return logic: current bottom from historical drawdowns 2015 -84.3%, 2018 -83.5%, 2022 -75.6%; 2028 top from all confirmed tops 2013, 2017, 2021 and 2025; 2028 bottom from historical bottoms 2015, 2018, 2022 plus the estimated 2024-cycle bottom.
How to read this chart
Raw Cycles
Cycles start at their halving date but keep their original historical duration.
Rotation remains based on real days since halving.
Historical Timeline
Cycles are shown in real chronological order.
This preserves the actual sequence of BTC history.
Probability windows
Green sectors:
Historical top formation zones
Red sectors:
Historical bottom formation zones
Darker sectors:
Stronger historical clustering
Probability windows are descriptive, not predictive.